Compounding the danger of a prolonged conflict is the reality of “trapped” spare capacity. While the global market normally relies on spare capacity in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Kuwait to buffer against price shocks, Struyven explained that those barrels typically must flow through the Strait of Hormuz to reach global buyers. Consequently, as long as the Strait remains compromised, that spare capacity cannot be physically deployed. Furthermore, while the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) could be used as a textbook response to sustained disruptions, the SPR currently holds around 415 million barrels—more than 200 million barrels lower than it was prior to the 2022 energy crisis.
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In Asia excluding Japan, organic revenue slipped 4% for the year. Performance improved in the second half, however, with organic growth of 2% in the third quarter and 1% in the fourth quarter, reversing the first-half downturn.
"It feels like there is no-one on the other side even bothering to take a look at your experiences and credentials."